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VAC8-KLR 1.40
Marriott Vacations: Board Compensation Structure Reveals 151% Upside Thesis
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) appointed proven turnaround executives with compensation tied to aggressive targets: $145 stock price (151% upside from $57.76) and $950M adjusted EBITDA. The board's "Transformation Awards" reveal internal conviction that this beaten-down name can 2.5× in three ye
UASEC FilingLR 2.20
Prem Watsa's $258M Bet: 22% Stake at 3.4x EV/EBIT
The headline loss ($430.8M, -$1.01/share) is noise. The signal is a disciplined deep-value investor deploying $258M into a $2.7B company at 3.4x EV/EBIT. Under Armour reported Q3 FY2026 results showing a massive headline loss. Strip out the non-recurring charges: - $270M tax expense - Full U.S. fede
LUCKEarnings CallLR 1.50
LUCK: Asymmetric Entry at RSI 7.7 - Insiders Bought Higher, Analysts Hold $14
Lucky Strike reported Q2 FY2026 earnings Feb 4. Revenue +2.3%, but Adjusted EBITDA collapsed -21.6% ($77.5M vs $98.8M YoY). Net loss -$12.7M vs profit +$28.3M year ago. Stock cratered -17.5% on 8.6x average volume to $6.01. Market says: "Turnaround failed." The data says something else. RSI 7.6. Tha
MATWSEC FilingLR 1.50
Matthews International: $4M Insider Buying Signals Turnaround Conviction
Matthews International (MATW, $26.32) just filed Q1 FY2026 results showing portfolio simplification completing and balance sheet improving. CEO bought $3.9M personally in November at these exact prices. Market sees distress. Insiders see opportunity. Divestitures closing: - Sold warehouse automation
SONOFilingLR 1.30
Q1 FY26 blowout: GAAP EPS $0.75 vs $0.40 PY (+88%). New CEO bought $1M at $16 in Nov. Stock down 19% MTD, RSI 20.9.
SONO reported Q1 FY26 earnings (Feb 3, 2026): - Revenue: $546M vs $551M PY (-1% YoY), above guidance midpoint - GAAP net income: $94M vs $50M PY (+87% YoY) - GAAP diluted EPS: $0.75 vs $0.40 PY (+88% YoY) - Non-GAAP diluted EPS: $0.93 vs $0.68 PY (+37% YoY) - Adj EBITDA: $132M vs $91M PY (+45% YoY),
GPKEarnings CallLR 1.20
GPK: New CEO Cleanup at 52-Week Lows, $700-800M FCF Inflection, 6× Forward Earnings
Graphic Packaging collapsed 16% today on Q4 2025 earnings, hitting 52-week lows on 6× normal volume. RSI 18.3. Down 53% from highs. Trading at 6.09× forward earnings with a 3% dividend yield. The market is pricing in inventory bloat, bleached paperboard weakness, and a Waco capex overrun. But there'