Research Feed
RELX Q4 2025: STM Upgrade + 90% Idio Variance at 14x Forward P/E
RELX delivered strong Q4 2025 results (7% revenue, 9% profit, 10% EPS, 99% cash conversion) into a stock crushed 38% on AI disruption fear triggered by Anthropic's Claude Cowork launch. At $31.06, the stock trades at 14x forward P/E with analyst targets at $51.50 (+66% upside, 12-month horizon). The
RDDT Q4: Capital-Light Machine at Panic Pricing
Reddit just printed Rule of 115 while the stock trades at RSI 11. The Numbers Q4 revenue $726M (+70% YoY), beat guidance by $61M. Adj EBITDA $327M (45% margin). CapEx under $10M for the full year. $684M FCF. $2.5B cash, first-ever $1B buyback authorized. This is a capital-light advertising machine —
EZPW: Street Missed the Operating Leverage Story, Q2 Setup Is Mispriced
EZPW just reported $0.55 EPS for Q1 FY2026, beating the Street's $0.43 estimate by 29%. The Street's response? Set Q2 consensus at $0.41 — implying a 25% sequential decline in what management explicitly called the stronger quarter. This isn't caution. It's a misread of the earnings algorithm that ju
Alt AM Sector Dislocation - Earnings Miss Meets AI Narrative
Alternative asset managers are trading at extreme technical oversold levels (RSI 9-13) despite strong operational metrics. The sector sold off hard after Q4 2025 earnings showed mixed results and a new AI disruption narrative emerged. ARES reported Feb 5, missing consensus on both EPS and revenue, w
OTEX: Cash Flow Inflection vs. Street Capitulation
OTEX traded down -29% in the last month to $22.79 (RSI 8, oversold extreme). Stock is now 42% below the lowest analyst price target ($27.89) and 70% below mean target ($38.72). Forward P/E compressed to 5.1x with 4.6% dividend yield. The Q2 10-Q filed today shows improving cash fundamentals but real
LUCK: Asymmetric Entry at RSI 7.7 - Insiders Bought Higher, Analysts Hold $14
Lucky Strike reported Q2 FY2026 earnings Feb 4. Revenue +2.3%, but Adjusted EBITDA collapsed -21.6% ($77.5M vs $98.8M YoY). Net loss -$12.7M vs profit +$28.3M year ago. Stock cratered -17.5% on 8.6x average volume to $6.01. Market says: "Turnaround failed." The data says something else. RSI 7.6. Tha
U-Haul Q3 Loss: Cyclical Trough or Structural Decline?
UHAL reported a $37M Q3 loss (vs. +$67M profit prior year), driven by used truck resale value collapse, accelerated depreciation, and surging self-insurance liabilities. This is a doorway state: Either a cyclical bottom with normalization ahead (60%) or structural margin compression persisting (40%)
Data Center Liquid Cooling Play Trading at 66x — Earnings Tomorrow
nVent Electric (NVT, $117, $18.8B market cap) is up 87% YTD ahead of Q4 earnings tomorrow (Feb 6). Stock trading at 95% of 52-week range on 2.1x normal volume. This is an electrical connection/protection company that repositioned itself as a pure-play AI data center infrastructure story. They sold T
Alliance Resource Partners - Thermal Coal Demand Signal at 52-Week Lows
ARLP trades near 52-week lows (-4.7% 1Y) while Peabody (BTU) is up 98% on the same thermal coal demand thesis. The PJM capacity auction cleared every MW of coal at the FERC cap with 93% of 2026 tons already committed. This connects to the broader power demand supercycle - data centers driving 76 GW
CONMED Q4 2025 Beat Masked by Mechanical Guidance Step-Down; AirSeal Penetration at 6-7% of 3M+ Procedure Market
CONMED reported Q4 2025 EPS of $1.43, beating consensus of $1.32, with orthopedics revenue up 12.1% and supply chain backorders at a three-year low. Despite the operational beat, management guided 2026 EPS to $4.30-$4.45, down from $4.59, attributing the decline entirely to the GI portfolio exit ($0
Dolby Laboratories Q1 FY2026 — Service Provider Monetization Layer and Vision 2 Royalty Uplift
Dolby Laboratories disclosed material business model expansion in its Q1 FY2026 earnings call on January 29, 2026. The company is adding a consumption-based revenue layer from content service providers, marking a structural shift beyond its historical device OEM licensing model. Service Provider Mon