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FICOSaaS Survival ScoreLR 1.50
Fair Isaac (FICO) — SaaS AI Survival V-Score: 3.57
FICO is two businesses stapled together. The first is a regulatory standard masquerading as a product — the FICO Score, embedded in LLPA grids, GSE requirements, MBS ratings, Basel capital models, and securitization documentation across the entire U.S. mortgage infrastructure. The second is an enter
ONITEarnings CallLR 1.40
ONIT: 55% P/E Discount to Industry on 16% ROE, FHA Headwind Quantified at 4M
Onity Group (ONIT) trades at 3.9x forward P/E — a 55% discount to the 8.7x industry median for mortgage servicers — despite consensus earnings implying 16% ROE, above management's 13-15% guidance. The discount reflects legitimate risks: $14M Q4 MSR runoff from FHA rule changes (October 2025 effectiv
VNDA10-KLR 1.40
Vanda: Why the 17% Selloff on a $220M Loss Misses the Point
The Street dumped VNDA 17% on February 11 after the company reported a $220M net loss (-$3.74 EPS) for FY2025. The headline looks brutal. The operational reality tells a different story. $113.7M of that $220M loss is a non-cash deferred tax asset valuation allowance. Management wrote down all DTA be
EXEL10-KLR 1.35
Exelixis: Patent Cliff Delayed to 2030, Zanzalintinib PDUFA in 10 Months
EXEL's "patent cliff" narrative is materially de-risked. Two trial wins, two settlements, and a declined IPR push generic CABOMETYX entry to 2030—not 2026-2027 as bears price in. Meanwhile, zanzalintinib (PDUFA Dec 3, 2026) positions the company to transition from single-product to dual-product engi
MMSTranscriptLR 1.30
Maximus: 8.2x P/E at Revenue Trough, Legislative Catalysts Locked In
Maximus (MMS) is down 21% in one week to $75 following Q1 FY2026 earnings, trading at 8.2x forward P/E with an RSI of 14.2. The market is pricing in DOGE risk across the government services sector, but the analyst community maintains $95-125 price targets (27-66% upside). The ugliness in the headlin
NTGREarnings CallLR 1.70
NTGR: Turnaround at Trough with Latent Regulatory Catalyst
NETGEAR delivered first revenue growth in 5 years (+3.8% FY2025), record gross margins (41.2% Q4), and return to profitability ($0.44 non-GAAP EPS) - but trades at $20.50 with 73% of market cap backed by cash and investments. Three converging factors make this interesting: 1. Latent regulatory catal
IEHC10-QLR 1.80
SEC Dismissal + 43% Backlog Surge — Market Dumped 15% on Margin Miss
IEH Corporation cleared a 3.5-year existential overhang on Jan 14 when the SEC dismissed its 12(j) administrative proceeding. The company faced potential deregistration since Aug 2022 — that threat is gone. Meanwhile backlog surged 43% YoY to $18.4M (8 months of revenue visibility at current run rat
REGNEarnings CallLR 3.50
Regeneron Q4 2025: Three Underpriced Pipeline Bets
Regeneron reported Q4 2025 earnings last week. Stock down 1.1% on the day, up 2.1% since. Market yawned. That reaction tells you something: The Street is focused on the known franchises (Dupixent +36% YoY, Eylea HD mix shift progressing as expected). They're missing three pipeline programs where the
INNVSEC FilingLR 0.65
Margin Expansion Meets Growth Ceiling - Up 37% Into Regulatory Wall
InnovAge gapped +37.5% on Feb 4 to $7.78 after Q2 FY2026 earnings. Stock now trades 56% above unanimous analyst consensus ($5.00) at 25x forward P/E. The operational turnaround is real and accelerating. The regulatory ceiling is also real and immovable. Margin expansion, not compression. Operating i