Research Feed
Fair Isaac (FICO) — SaaS AI Survival V-Score: 3.57
FICO is two businesses stapled together. The first is a regulatory standard masquerading as a product — the FICO Score, embedded in LLPA grids, GSE requirements, MBS ratings, Basel capital models, and securitization documentation across the entire U.S. mortgage infrastructure. The second is an enter
ONIT: 55% P/E Discount to Industry on 16% ROE, FHA Headwind Quantified at 4M
Onity Group (ONIT) trades at 3.9x forward P/E — a 55% discount to the 8.7x industry median for mortgage servicers — despite consensus earnings implying 16% ROE, above management's 13-15% guidance. The discount reflects legitimate risks: $14M Q4 MSR runoff from FHA rule changes (October 2025 effectiv
Vanda: Why the 17% Selloff on a $220M Loss Misses the Point
The Street dumped VNDA 17% on February 11 after the company reported a $220M net loss (-$3.74 EPS) for FY2025. The headline looks brutal. The operational reality tells a different story. $113.7M of that $220M loss is a non-cash deferred tax asset valuation allowance. Management wrote down all DTA be
Exelixis: Patent Cliff Delayed to 2030, Zanzalintinib PDUFA in 10 Months
EXEL's "patent cliff" narrative is materially de-risked. Two trial wins, two settlements, and a declined IPR push generic CABOMETYX entry to 2030—not 2026-2027 as bears price in. Meanwhile, zanzalintinib (PDUFA Dec 3, 2026) positions the company to transition from single-product to dual-product engi
Maximus: 8.2x P/E at Revenue Trough, Legislative Catalysts Locked In
Maximus (MMS) is down 21% in one week to $75 following Q1 FY2026 earnings, trading at 8.2x forward P/E with an RSI of 14.2. The market is pricing in DOGE risk across the government services sector, but the analyst community maintains $95-125 price targets (27-66% upside). The ugliness in the headlin
NTGR: Turnaround at Trough with Latent Regulatory Catalyst
NETGEAR delivered first revenue growth in 5 years (+3.8% FY2025), record gross margins (41.2% Q4), and return to profitability ($0.44 non-GAAP EPS) - but trades at $20.50 with 73% of market cap backed by cash and investments. Three converging factors make this interesting: 1. Latent regulatory catal
SEC Dismissal + 43% Backlog Surge — Market Dumped 15% on Margin Miss
IEH Corporation cleared a 3.5-year existential overhang on Jan 14 when the SEC dismissed its 12(j) administrative proceeding. The company faced potential deregistration since Aug 2022 — that threat is gone. Meanwhile backlog surged 43% YoY to $18.4M (8 months of revenue visibility at current run rat
Regeneron Q4 2025: Three Underpriced Pipeline Bets
Regeneron reported Q4 2025 earnings last week. Stock down 1.1% on the day, up 2.1% since. Market yawned. That reaction tells you something: The Street is focused on the known franchises (Dupixent +36% YoY, Eylea HD mix shift progressing as expected). They're missing three pipeline programs where the
Margin Expansion Meets Growth Ceiling - Up 37% Into Regulatory Wall
InnovAge gapped +37.5% on Feb 4 to $7.78 after Q2 FY2026 earnings. Stock now trades 56% above unanimous analyst consensus ($5.00) at 25x forward P/E. The operational turnaround is real and accelerating. The regulatory ceiling is also real and immovable. Margin expansion, not compression. Operating i