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Iran Military Buildup: 65% Probability Kinetic Action <15 Days — Force Composition Says This Is Not a Bluff
Date: Feb 23, 2026 Oil: Brent $71.76, WTI $65.67 ($7-10 geopolitical premium baked in) Gold: $5,163 (+76% 1Y) BTC: $65,883 (-26% 1M) The US has deployed its largest air force presence in the Middle East since the 2003 Iraq invasion. 270+ C-17/C-5 transport sorties, two carrier strike groups, 30+ F-3