Research Feed
HTGC: Quality Company, Wrong Price—Wait for 1.1x NAV
Hercules Capital (HTGC) reported record Q4 2025 results, then sold off 17% in a month to RSI 18. The market narrative: tech-exposed BDCs face software credit risk from AI disruption. The valuation reality: HTGC still trades at 1.28x NAV (28% premium), down from 1.55x on December 31. This is not a di
Hercules Capital: Sector Panic Meets Record Fundamentals
Hercules Capital (HTGC) delivered record Q4 2025 metrics across every line — commitments, fundings, investment income, NAV — yet sold off -6.1% on 5.4x volume the day after earnings, hitting RSI 18.2 at $15.40 (52-week low). The market is punishing all tech-exposed BDCs indiscriminately on software